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Understanding Risk Global Forum 2022

UR22 London Satellite, 29 November 2022

Registration and welcome refreshments 

09:00 - 10:00, The Atrium


Welcome and opening keynote 

10:00 - 10:15, The Bakala Auditorium 

Reflecting on over three decades of personal experience in international humanitarian work, Richard Blewitt, Executive Director of International at the British Red Cross, will open the UR22 London Satellite Hub by providing a humanitarian perspective on the challenges of managing compound risks around the world – illustrated by recent examples of how these risks manifest in humanitarian needs in places such as Somaliland and the Sahel, where people are facing a perfect storm of compounding risks including conflict, drought, flooding, food insecurity and Covid-19.

  • Richard Blewitt, Executive Director of International, British Red Cross


Session 1: Risk know-how in communities around the world

10:15 - 11:15, The Bakala Auditorium

Every day, thousands of people all over the world are helping their communities to make sense of risk. These community risk practitioners have often been innovating in how to convey risk messages or question information. They are uniquely placed to know what their community knows and needs, but their expertise is often missing from global conversations about risk. Despite the different cultures and varied environments they each work in, they also often have similar needs. Diverse risk practitioners are making many of the same discoveries about what they and their communities need to decide the weight to give to information about risks.

In this discussion, community practitioners will discuss their experiences: what has been successful, what has been challenging, and what do they need in terms of support or tools to be able to ensure their community has risk know-how? The panel will also consider information providers and their role: do they have a responsibility to answer social questions as well as disseminate data?

The session will also consider how the Risk Know-How Framework can be used and applied to offer support and a guiding thread for developing more nuanced community conversations around risk.

  • Tracey Brown, Director, Sense About Science

  • Leonard Lee, Deputy Director, Lloyd’s Register Foundation Institute for the Public Understanding of Risk

  • Adam Parnell, Director (Maritime), Confidential Human Factors Incident Reporting Programme (CHIRP)

  • Katherine Hill, Community Resilience Coordinator, British Red Cross


Refreshment break and networking

11:15 - 11:45, The Huth Gallery


Session 2: Perceptions of risk and harm from AI and personal data use: insights from the World Risk Poll

11:45 - 12:45, The Bakala Auditorium 

The use of personal data and AI technologies offers great potential across many areas of society to improve productivity, standards of living, decision-making and risk management. However, the use of such data and technologies also presents new risks and pitfalls of its own, such as the amplification of existing human biases in decision-making.

As part of the Lloyd’s Register Foundation World Risk Poll, global attitudes to risk and harm from the use of AI and personal data have been explored on an unprecedented scale: 125,000 interviews with people across 12 countries conducted by Gallup in 2021. To mark the launch of a new report on the findings, this session will discuss what must be done to manage this new area of risk, while still maximising the potential of data and AI to help manage old ones.

  • Sarah Cumbers, Director of Evidence and Insight, Lloyd's Register Foundation

  • Aidan Peppin, Public Participation & Research Lead, Ada Lovelace Institute

  • Shahar Avin, Senior Research Associate at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, University of Cambridge


Lunch and networking

12:45 - 13:45, The Huth Gallery


Session 3: Do look up: What can circus artists teach us about risk?

13:45 - 14:30, The Bakala Auditorium

Aerial acrobats, professional jugglers, and other circus artists are remarkably talented at understanding, anticipating, and managing risk. Circus artists straddle fine lines in mitigating without eliminating risk and using the risk itself as a medium for community engagement and inspiration. Can we, as risk practitioners, learn from their talent and creativity?

“This unconventional session will combine a taste of circus arts performance with (safe, and sensorially, cognitively, and emotionally stimulating) audience engagement and expert discussion to challenge how attendees perceive, understand, and address risk. Through a combination of formal presentations, designed interaction and serious fun, we will dive into the complex interactions between thrill, narrative, and analytical rigour. Importantly, we will co-create tangible and actionable ideas to support the Understanding Risk community through creative communication approaches that can be tailored to your specific needs and opportunities.

  • Pablo Suarez, Artist for Impact, Lloyd's Register Foundation

  • Tilly Alcayna, Senior Technical Advisor for Health and Climate, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre

  • Daniel Clarke, Director, Centre for Disaster Protection

  • SJ Beard, Academic Programme Manager and Senior Research Associate, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, University of Cambridge


Refreshment break and networking

14:30 - 15:00, The Huth Gallery


Session 4: From a ripple to a surge: understanding and responding to compound risk

15:00 - 16:00, The Bakala Auditorium

Framed by insights from the Lloyd’s Register Foundation World Risk Poll and the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre as part of the Anticipation Hub, this session will explore how multiple risks can compound each other to cause greater harm, particularly to vulnerable populations that may suffer from discrimination and financial insecurity.

When two or more risks collide or occur rapidly one after another, the collective impact is often greater than the sum of its parts. When climate change and climate related disasters interact with trends such as skewed development, conflict and violence, poor natural resource management, rapid rates of urbanisation, and gaping inequity, impacts are worse – particularly for the poorest and most vulnerable.

For example, some communities in East Africa have faced flooding, locusts, increased food insecurity, and armed conflict – in addition to the immediate health threats and socio-economic impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic. Many European countries recently faced the worst heatwave in history, while dealing with fuel and energy shortages, rising inflation, continued migration, and security issues. It’s critical to understand the factors that contribute to compound risk and how they relate and impact each other. Panellists will discuss how we can use these insights to build equitable models of resilience that do not leave anyone behind.

  • Ksenia Chmutina, Reader in Sustainable and Resilient Urbanism at the School of Architecture, Building and Civil Engineering, Loughborough University

  • Catalina Jaime, Lead of Climate and Conflict at the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre and PhD researcher at University of Twente, ITC

  • Nicola Ranger, Head of Sustainable Finance Research for Development, Oxford Sustainable Finance Group & Senior Researcher, Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment

  • Kate Raworth, Ecological Economist and Co-founder of Doughnut Economics Action Lab

  • Simphiwe Stewart, Technical Advisor on Climate and Conflict, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre


Interactive wrap-up activities

16:00 - 17:15, The Huth Gallery

Attendees will be invited to engage with the Design Museum collection and reflect on how they connect to the theme of risk.

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